Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 2.164413 2.256761 2.352188 2.458432 2.573737 2.695456 2.834142
2025-11-16 1.957436 2.084539 2.221140 2.379850 2.560462 2.761188 3.003418
2025-11-23 1.831993 1.983132 2.150664 2.352188 2.590900 2.868491 3.221740
2025-11-30 1.746475 1.916090 2.108993 2.348026 2.641351 2.996881 3.472864
2025-12-07 1.663846 1.844475 2.054070 2.320025 2.656004 3.077803 3.668390
2025-12-14 1.578973 1.763908 1.981747 2.263205 2.626888 3.096462 3.778736
2025-12-21 1.536646 1.731084 1.963925 2.270899 2.677887 3.220873 4.045876
2025-12-28 1.510532 1.715794 1.965662 2.301873 2.759618 3.391933 4.401216
2026-01-04 1.458372 1.665352 1.919991 2.267229 2.748431 3.429110 4.554096
2026-01-11 1.429538 1.642556 1.907898 2.275517 2.795964 3.554012 4.863660
2026-01-18 1.409741 1.630014 1.907897 2.299268 2.865957 3.717849 5.264660
2026-01-25 1.363203 1.581262 1.858147 2.251445 2.827696 3.708739 5.353018
2026-02-01 1.310256 1.524945 1.799417 2.192809 2.776514 3.685438 5.434130
2026-02-08 1.267648 1.481097 1.756158 2.154575 2.754650 3.709907 5.618290
2026-02-15 1.237571 1.452674 1.732517 2.143071 2.772879 3.803525 5.965436
2026-02-22 1.214271 1.432278 1.718761 2.144821 2.811539 3.936470 6.432970
2026-03-01 1.184593 1.402271 1.690447 2.123391 2.811122 3.999197 6.757863
2026-03-08 1.148008 1.361844 1.646182 2.075962 2.764885 3.972363 6.857390
2026-03-15 1.131560 1.348063 1.638519 2.082999 2.808898 4.120299 7.454117
2026-03-22 1.122363 1.343719 1.643774 2.109661 2.887682 4.346488 8.366253
2026-03-29 1.096297 1.315409 1.613801 2.080164 2.866976 4.368169 8.671702
2026-04-05 1.082719 1.303917 1.607506 2.087292 2.911015 4.531002 9.521976
2026-04-12 1.073726 1.298452 1.609602 2.107598 2.980018 4.758563 10.760894